A few weeks ago we posted an article called “Due To Corruption, Asia is in for a big swine flu Year”, and then a few days later we posted an addendum called “Asia is in For a Big Swine Flu Year – The Case for India.”
The basic argument of the first article is that if one simply looked at the world map of swine flu cases, the dearth of cases at the center of Asia, and particularly in India, China, and Russia, did not make sense. We had also done some research that uncovered an interesting correlation between a country’s transparency index ranking (an official measure of corruption in a country) and its reported cases of swine flu per population. The corruption rankings almost perfectly correlated to reported cases of swine flu.
In the second article we pointed out that India, a country where over 50% of the population has no access to healthcare, had up to that point only 112 reported cases of swine flu. Then we went into some detail as to why this might be the case.
Anyhow, two days ago the NYTimes article seems to have validated our predictions. And for the record, those 1200 confirmed cases are only the tip of the ice-berg.
I don’t want to say we told you so…but, we told you so.
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More news about swine flu’s potential to endanger more lives in Asia this year;